Short-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 28?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 28?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$29,384 Wol.
$29,384 Wol.
Jul 28, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$29,384 Wol.
$29,384 Wol.
Jul 28, 2026
22°C or below
$385 Wol.
No
23°C
$417 Wol.
No
24°C
$330 Wol.
No
25°C
$2,935 Wol.
No
26°C
$1,957 Wol.
No
27°C
$2,885 Wol.
No
28°C
$3,999 Wol.
No
29°C
$8,477 Wol.
Yes
30°C
$4,114 Wol.
No
31°C
$3,146 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$739 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$29,384Data zakończenia
Jul 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$29,384Data zakończenia
Jul 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Short-term ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF point to stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, favoring maximum temperatures of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 28 amid typical winter subsidence and limited moisture. The narrow spread in market-implied odds between these outcomes reflects subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention on the plateau, with no significant cold front or frontal passage expected in the next 24–48 hours. Recent surface observations confirm near-normal temperatures without rapid advection shifts, underscoring forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and microscale variations that could tip resolution between adjacent thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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