Traders favor 96-97°F as the highest temperature in Houston on August 15 because National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts consistently project a sunny day with highs near 97°F under typical subtropical summer conditions. High pressure and southerly flow support afternoon temperatures in the mid-to-upper 90s, aligning with August climatology where average highs reach about 95°F. Model consensus shows limited variability, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk keeping values from dropping to the low 90s or surging past 99°F. Recent days of similar heat without fronts or tropical influences have reinforced this range, producing market-implied odds concentrated around 94-99°F. Updated model runs later today could refine the exact peak if dew points or wind shifts alter the heat index trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on August 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 15?
96-97°F 52%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 17%
92-93°F 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
52%
98-99°F
17%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 52%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 17%
92-93°F 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
85°F or below
$170 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$308 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$476 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$443 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$536 Wol.
2%
94-95°F
$1,029 Wol.
26%
96-97°F
$3,593 Wol.
52%
98-99°F
$1,027 Wol.
17%
100-101°F
$782 Wol.
1%
102-103°F
$691 Wol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$568 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor 96-97°F as the highest temperature in Houston on August 15 because National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts consistently project a sunny day with highs near 97°F under typical subtropical summer conditions. High pressure and southerly flow support afternoon temperatures in the mid-to-upper 90s, aligning with August climatology where average highs reach about 95°F. Model consensus shows limited variability, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk keeping values from dropping to the low 90s or surging past 99°F. Recent days of similar heat without fronts or tropical influences have reinforced this range, producing market-implied odds concentrated around 94-99°F. Updated model runs later today could refine the exact peak if dew points or wind shifts alter the heat index trajectory.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,622Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor 96-97°F as the highest temperature in Houston on August 15 because National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts consistently project a sunny day with highs near 97°F under typical subtropical summer conditions. High pressure and southerly flow support afternoon temperatures in the mid-to-upper 90s, aligning with August climatology where average highs reach about 95°F. Model consensus shows limited variability, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk keeping values from dropping to the low 90s or surging past 99°F. Recent days of similar heat without fronts or tropical influences have reinforced this range, producing market-implied odds concentrated around 94-99°F. Updated model runs later today could refine the exact peak if dew points or wind shifts alter the heat index trajectory.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,622Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders favor 96-97°F as the highest temperature in Houston on August 15 because National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts consistently project a sunny day with highs near 97°F under typical subtropical summer conditions. High pressure and southerly flow support afternoon temperatures in the mid-to-upper 90s, aligning with August climatology where average highs reach about 95°F. Model consensus shows limited variability, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk keeping values from dropping to the low 90s or surging past 99°F. Recent days of similar heat without fronts or tropical influences have reinforced this range, producing market-implied odds concentrated around 94-99°F. Updated model runs later today could refine the exact peak if dew points or wind shifts alter the heat index trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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