Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 3?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$44,461 Wol.
$44,461 Wol.
May 3, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$44,461 Wol.
$44,461 Wol.
May 3, 2026
7°C or below
$3,130 Wol.
No
8°C
$2,466 Wol.
No
9°C
$5,544 Wol.
No
10°C
$2,711 Wol.
No
11°C
$2,436 Wol.
No
12°C
$8,806 Wol.
Yes
13°C
$6,099 Wol.
No
14°C
$4,722 Wol.
No
15°C
$3,297 Wol.
No
16°C
$2,070 Wol.
No
17°C or higher
$3,182 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,461Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$44,461Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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