BMKG's latest forecasts for May 9, 2026, project Jakarta's highest temperatures at 32–33°C across southern and eastern districts under persistent berawan (cloudy) conditions with 70–95% humidity, driving near-unanimous trader consensus on 33°C with 100% implied probability. This positioning reflects real-time model outputs from the Indonesian meteorological agency, capturing urban heat island effects amplifying peaks amid May's dry season transition, where climatological highs average 31–32°C but routinely hit 33°C at stations like Halim Perdanakusuma. Current morning observations around 27–28°C align with trajectories toward midday maxima. Realistic challenges include isolated convective showers capping temperatures below 33°C or an outlier reading exceeding it, though low precipitation risk in ensemble forecasts minimizes shifts ahead of evening station reports.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 9?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$68,440 Wol.
$68,440 Wol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$68,440 Wol.
$68,440 Wol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
BMKG's latest forecasts for May 9, 2026, project Jakarta's highest temperatures at 32–33°C across southern and eastern districts under persistent berawan (cloudy) conditions with 70–95% humidity, driving near-unanimous trader consensus on 33°C with 100% implied probability. This positioning reflects real-time model outputs from the Indonesian meteorological agency, capturing urban heat island effects amplifying peaks amid May's dry season transition, where climatological highs average 31–32°C but routinely hit 33°C at stations like Halim Perdanakusuma. Current morning observations around 27–28°C align with trajectories toward midday maxima. Realistic challenges include isolated convective showers capping temperatures below 33°C or an outlier reading exceeding it, though low precipitation risk in ensemble forecasts minimizes shifts ahead of evening station reports.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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