Persistent summer heat across northern China, reinforced by recent model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, underpins the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied odds for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 20. Climatological baselines for mid-August show typical daily maxima of 30–35°C in the region, with current forecasts consistently projecting afternoon highs near 32–34°C at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal precipitation. These consensus projections leave little room for deviation below the 26°C threshold. Only an unexpected, sharp cold-front intrusion or localized station measurement anomaly could realistically alter the outcome, though neither appears likely given the short time horizon and atmospheric setup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jinan on August 20?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 20?
26°C or higher 99.4%
21°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
21°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
$325 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$325 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$325 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$346 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$348 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$327 Wol.
1%
22°C
$225 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$260 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$180 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$165 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$897 Wol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across northern China, reinforced by recent model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, underpins the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied odds for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 20. Climatological baselines for mid-August show typical daily maxima of 30–35°C in the region, with current forecasts consistently projecting afternoon highs near 32–34°C at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal precipitation. These consensus projections leave little room for deviation below the 26°C threshold. Only an unexpected, sharp cold-front intrusion or localized station measurement anomaly could realistically alter the outcome, though neither appears likely given the short time horizon and atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,723Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across northern China, reinforced by recent model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, underpins the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied odds for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 20. Climatological baselines for mid-August show typical daily maxima of 30–35°C in the region, with current forecasts consistently projecting afternoon highs near 32–34°C at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal precipitation. These consensus projections leave little room for deviation below the 26°C threshold. Only an unexpected, sharp cold-front intrusion or localized station measurement anomaly could realistically alter the outcome, though neither appears likely given the short time horizon and atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,723Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat across northern China, reinforced by recent model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration, underpins the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied odds for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 20. Climatological baselines for mid-August show typical daily maxima of 30–35°C in the region, with current forecasts consistently projecting afternoon highs near 32–34°C at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal precipitation. These consensus projections leave little room for deviation below the 26°C threshold. Only an unexpected, sharp cold-front intrusion or localized station measurement anomaly could realistically alter the outcome, though neither appears likely given the short time horizon and atmospheric setup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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