Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on May 2 peaked at 23°C, recorded at key stations including Heathrow Airport amid stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly winds that capped warming potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from UKV and ECMWF models predicting maxima near 23°C under mild spring conditions, driving traders' 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-money bets reflect observed data certainty. While provisional reports are firm, rare scenarios like post-verification adjustments for sensor anomalies or overlooked higher readings from qualifying urban sites could challenge it, though no such discrepancies have surfaced. Final daily bulletin expected imminently.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 2?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$226,869 Wol.
$226,869 Wol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$226,869 Wol.
$226,869 Wol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on May 2 peaked at 23°C, recorded at key stations including Heathrow Airport amid stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly winds that capped warming potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from UKV and ECMWF models predicting maxima near 23°C under mild spring conditions, driving traders' 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-money bets reflect observed data certainty. While provisional reports are firm, rare scenarios like post-verification adjustments for sensor anomalies or overlooked higher readings from qualifying urban sites could challenge it, though no such discrepancies have surfaced. Final daily bulletin expected imminently.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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