Official Met Office observations and Wunderground records from London City Airport station—the market's designated source—confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies transitioning to overcast conditions, light winds, and scattered showers under a weakening high-pressure ridge capped warming potential, aligning with UKV and ECMWF model consensus forecasts of 16–19°C and London's early May climatological average of about 17°C. Finalized hourly data released post-midnight on May 9 solidifies this positioning; only rare post-finalization revisions, which resolution rules ignore, could challenge it, though no higher readings emerged from key sites like Heathrow or St James's Park.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 8?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$286,947 Wol.
$286,947 Wol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$286,947 Wol.
$286,947 Wol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official Met Office observations and Wunderground records from London City Airport station—the market's designated source—confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies transitioning to overcast conditions, light winds, and scattered showers under a weakening high-pressure ridge capped warming potential, aligning with UKV and ECMWF model consensus forecasts of 16–19°C and London's early May climatological average of about 17°C. Finalized hourly data released post-midnight on May 9 solidifies this positioning; only rare post-finalization revisions, which resolution rules ignore, could challenge it, though no higher readings emerged from key sites like Heathrow or St James's Park.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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