India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm a maximum temperature of 39.3°C at Lucknow Airport on April 29, 2026—slightly below normal by 0.2°C—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 39°C outcome. Amid Uttar Pradesh's severe heatwave, with peaks like 47.6°C in Banda earlier in the week, Lucknow's local atmospheric conditions featured mainly cloudy skies transitioning to partly cloudy, accompanied by thunderstorms, gusty winds up to 50 kmph, and hail, which capped daytime heating per short-range numerical models. Early afternoon readings peaked near 39°C before convective cooling set in. Realistic challenges include a late measurement revision or hotter unmonitored urban microclimate pushing beyond 40°C, though official airport data and sunset timing make this improbable; final IMD validation expected soon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 29?
39°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
40°C <1%
$157,882 Wol.
$157,882 Wol.
37°C or below
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
40°C <1%
$157,882 Wol.
$157,882 Wol.
37°C or below
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm a maximum temperature of 39.3°C at Lucknow Airport on April 29, 2026—slightly below normal by 0.2°C—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 39°C outcome. Amid Uttar Pradesh's severe heatwave, with peaks like 47.6°C in Banda earlier in the week, Lucknow's local atmospheric conditions featured mainly cloudy skies transitioning to partly cloudy, accompanied by thunderstorms, gusty winds up to 50 kmph, and hail, which capped daytime heating per short-range numerical models. Early afternoon readings peaked near 39°C before convective cooling set in. Realistic challenges include a late measurement revision or hotter unmonitored urban microclimate pushing beyond 40°C, though official airport data and sunset timing make this improbable; final IMD validation expected soon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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