Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including cloud cover and scattered showers, is moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow and anchoring trader consensus around 33–34°C. Official forecasts from agencies like the India Meteorological Department and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 15, consistent with typical August climatology of 31–33°C amid the southwest monsoon. Limited recent warming or clearer skies would be needed to push probabilities toward 35°C or higher, while persistent rainfall supports the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the observation window remain key variables for any shifts in implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 15?
34°C 44%
33°C 33%
35°C 16%
32°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
33%
34°C
44%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
33°C 33%
35°C 16%
32°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
$729 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$903 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$118 Wol.
1%
31°C
$173 Wol.
2%
32°C
$467 Wol.
6%
33°C
$1,506 Wol.
33%
34°C
$2,184 Wol.
44%
35°C
$847 Wol.
16%
36°C
$327 Wol.
4%
37°C
$217 Wol.
1%
38°C or higher
$257 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including cloud cover and scattered showers, is moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow and anchoring trader consensus around 33–34°C. Official forecasts from agencies like the India Meteorological Department and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 15, consistent with typical August climatology of 31–33°C amid the southwest monsoon. Limited recent warming or clearer skies would be needed to push probabilities toward 35°C or higher, while persistent rainfall supports the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the observation window remain key variables for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,727Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including cloud cover and scattered showers, is moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow and anchoring trader consensus around 33–34°C. Official forecasts from agencies like the India Meteorological Department and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 15, consistent with typical August climatology of 31–33°C amid the southwest monsoon. Limited recent warming or clearer skies would be needed to push probabilities toward 35°C or higher, while persistent rainfall supports the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the observation window remain key variables for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,727Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including cloud cover and scattered showers, is moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow and anchoring trader consensus around 33–34°C. Official forecasts from agencies like the India Meteorological Department and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 15, consistent with typical August climatology of 31–33°C amid the southwest monsoon. Limited recent warming or clearer skies would be needed to push probabilities toward 35°C or higher, while persistent rainfall supports the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the observation window remain key variables for any shifts in implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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