Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$96,510 Wol.
$96,510 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$96,510 Wol.
$96,510 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
$3,991 Wol.
No
32°C
$7,846 Wol.
No
33°C
$10,762 Wol.
No
34°C
$24,197 Wol.
No
35°C
$17,664 Wol.
Yes
36°C
$17,489 Wol.
No
37°C
$9,099 Wol.
No
38°C
$2,264 Wol.
No
39°C
$1,163 Wol.
No
40°C
$1,021 Wol.
No
41°C or higher
$1,016 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$96,510Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$96,510Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent official observations and ensemble model outputs from AEMET and ECMWF have converged on a Madrid peak of 35°C, driven by strong daytime solar insolation under mostly clear skies, light southwesterly flow, and urban heat island amplification elevating surface temperatures above regional baselines. With the maximum now recorded or imminent near the afternoon window used for resolution, trader consensus reflects near-certainty in the 35°C bin. Historical June climatology (averaging 28–30°C) provides context for the elevated reading amid early-month warmth. Only a late measurement revision by the primary reporting station or an unforecast convective cell dropping the verified high by 1°C could realistically alter the outcome before settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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