Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$86,398 Wol.
$86,398 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$86,398 Wol.
$86,398 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
31°C or below
$1,666 Wol.
No
32°C
$571 Wol.
No
33°C
$3,488 Wol.
No
34°C
$17,048 Wol.
No
35°C
$17,289 Wol.
Yes
36°C
$21,057 Wol.
No
37°C
$16,363 Wol.
No
38°C
$6,526 Wol.
No
39°C
$1,056 Wol.
No
40°C
$655 Wol.
No
41°C or higher
$680 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$86,398Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$86,398Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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