Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 7?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,420 Wol.
$40,420 Wol.
Jul 7, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,420 Wol.
$40,420 Wol.
Jul 7, 2026
18°C or below
$2,086 Wol.
No
19°C
$2,424 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,219 Wol.
No
21°C
$4,443 Wol.
No
22°C
$5,617 Wol.
No
23°C
$6,831 Wol.
No
24°C
$6,140 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$2,316 Wol.
No
26°C
$4,560 Wol.
No
27°C
$1,495 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$2,289 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$40,420Data zakończenia
Jul 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$40,420Data zakończenia
Jul 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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