PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on May 8?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 8?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,204 Wol.
$39,204 Wol.
May 8, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,204 Wol.
$39,204 Wol.
May 8, 2026
30°C or below
$3,501 Wol.
No
31°C
$1,995 Wol.
No
32°C
$1,997 Wol.
No
33°C
$3,696 Wol.
No
34°C
$5,595 Wol.
No
35°C
$1,586 Wol.
No
36°C
$5,787 Wol.
Yes
37°C
$5,580 Wol.
No
38°C
$3,914 Wol.
No
39°C
$2,747 Wol.
No
40°C or higher
$2,806 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Wolumen
$39,204Data zakończenia
May 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$39,204Data zakończenia
May 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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