Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on April 29, driven by official forecasts from AccuWeather, Weather.com, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projecting daytime highs of 31–34°C (88–93°F) under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. Recent observations at Benito Juárez International Airport confirm this heatwave pattern, with temperatures hovering at 30–32°C over the past week amid seasonal dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, far exceeding April climatological averages of ~26°C. While model consensus is robust, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though low-probability precipitation forecasts (under 5%) reinforce the near-certainty as the day progresses toward peak heating around 2–4 PM local time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 29?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 29?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$63,073 Wol.
$63,073 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$63,073 Wol.
$63,073 Wol.
Apr 29, 2026
15°C or below
$4,180 Wol.
No
16°C
$4,648 Wol.
No
17°C
$1,064 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,040 Wol.
No
19°C
$3,044 Wol.
No
20°C
$3,749 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,663 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,926 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,322 Wol.
No
24°C
$10,168 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$24,270 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on April 29, driven by official forecasts from AccuWeather, Weather.com, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projecting daytime highs of 31–34°C (88–93°F) under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. Recent observations at Benito Juárez International Airport confirm this heatwave pattern, with temperatures hovering at 30–32°C over the past week amid seasonal dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, far exceeding April climatological averages of ~26°C. While model consensus is robust, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though low-probability precipitation forecasts (under 5%) reinforce the near-certainty as the day progresses toward peak heating around 2–4 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$63,073Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on April 29, driven by official forecasts from AccuWeather, Weather.com, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projecting daytime highs of 31–34°C (88–93°F) under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. Recent observations at Benito Juárez International Airport confirm this heatwave pattern, with temperatures hovering at 30–32°C over the past week amid seasonal dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, far exceeding April climatological averages of ~26°C. While model consensus is robust, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though low-probability precipitation forecasts (under 5%) reinforce the near-certainty as the day progresses toward peak heating around 2–4 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$63,073Data zakończenia
Apr 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on April 29, driven by official forecasts from AccuWeather, Weather.com, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projecting daytime highs of 31–34°C (88–93°F) under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. Recent observations at Benito Juárez International Airport confirm this heatwave pattern, with temperatures hovering at 30–32°C over the past week amid seasonal dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, far exceeding April climatological averages of ~26°C. While model consensus is robust, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though low-probability precipitation forecasts (under 5%) reinforce the near-certainty as the day progresses toward peak heating around 2–4 PM local time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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