Official meteorological records from June 1 confirm a daily maximum temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This aligns with the transition into the warmer phase of the rainy season, where climatological baselines near 24–25°C often see peaks elevated by daytime heating and reduced cloud cover before widespread precipitation sets in. Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico showed consistent projections exceeding this threshold with narrow uncertainty ranges, reflecting typical early-June atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge would have required an unforecasted influx of cooler air or prolonged heavy rain suppressing highs, though such deviations were low-probability given observed conditions and model consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 1?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,472 Wol.
$32,472 Wol.
Jun 1, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,472 Wol.
$32,472 Wol.
Jun 1, 2026
16°C or below
$632 Wol.
No
17°C
$293 Wol.
No
18°C
$293 Wol.
No
19°C
$674 Wol.
No
20°C
$353 Wol.
No
21°C
$7,640 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,307 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,724 Wol.
No
24°C
$2,892 Wol.
No
25°C
$4,933 Wol.
No
26°C or higher
$11,732 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from June 1 confirm a daily maximum temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This aligns with the transition into the warmer phase of the rainy season, where climatological baselines near 24–25°C often see peaks elevated by daytime heating and reduced cloud cover before widespread precipitation sets in. Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico showed consistent projections exceeding this threshold with narrow uncertainty ranges, reflecting typical early-June atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge would have required an unforecasted influx of cooler air or prolonged heavy rain suppressing highs, though such deviations were low-probability given observed conditions and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,472Data zakończenia
Jun 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from June 1 confirm a daily maximum temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This aligns with the transition into the warmer phase of the rainy season, where climatological baselines near 24–25°C often see peaks elevated by daytime heating and reduced cloud cover before widespread precipitation sets in. Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico showed consistent projections exceeding this threshold with narrow uncertainty ranges, reflecting typical early-June atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge would have required an unforecasted influx of cooler air or prolonged heavy rain suppressing highs, though such deviations were low-probability given observed conditions and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$32,472Data zakończenia
Jun 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official meteorological records from June 1 confirm a daily maximum temperature of 26°C or higher in Mexico City, driving the market-implied odds to 100% for that outcome. This aligns with the transition into the warmer phase of the rainy season, where climatological baselines near 24–25°C often see peaks elevated by daytime heating and reduced cloud cover before widespread precipitation sets in. Ensemble forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico showed consistent projections exceeding this threshold with narrow uncertainty ranges, reflecting typical early-June atmospheric patterns. A realistic challenge would have required an unforecasted influx of cooler air or prolonged heavy rain suppressing highs, though such deviations were low-probability given observed conditions and model consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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