Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?
4°C 100.0%
-1°C or below <1%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
$73,483 Wol.
$73,483 Wol.
Apr 19, 2026
-1°C or below
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
Yes
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C or higher
No
4°C 100.0%
-1°C or below <1%
0°C <1%
1°C <1%
$73,483 Wol.
$73,483 Wol.
Apr 19, 2026
-1°C or below
$1,631 Wol.
No
0°C
$1,132 Wol.
No
1°C
$1,428 Wol.
No
2°C
$2,404 Wol.
No
3°C
$5,748 Wol.
No
4°C
$12,948 Wol.
Yes
5°C
$9,185 Wol.
No
6°C
$8,061 Wol.
No
7°C
$11,479 Wol.
No
8°C
$6,492 Wol.
No
9°C or higher
$12,975 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Wolumen
$73,483Data zakończenia
Apr 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$73,483Data zakończenia
Apr 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 19, driven by official METAR observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA archives—which recorded sustained readings around 4°C through midday under persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 11 m/s. Roshydromet, Russia's authoritative Hydrometeorological Center, accurately forecasted daytime highs of 3–6°C amid an influx of cold Arctic air ahead of a low-pressure system, with light rain and wet snow further inhibiting solar heating. This aligns with recent model consensus showing suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 10–11°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly peak, though full daily summaries reinforce the 4°C maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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