Current meteorological forecasts from major agencies converge on a Moscow daytime maximum of 26°C for June 8, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate southerly flow that favor gradual warming without excessive heat. This aligns with seasonal climatology where early-June highs typically reach 20–24°C but can climb a few degrees under favorable synoptic patterns. Model consensus across runs supports this precise threshold, reflected in the market-implied 100% probability. An earlier-than-expected cold front, increased cloud cover, or localized precipitation could cap temperatures below 26°C, while stronger insolation or delayed mixing might push readings slightly higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 8?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$47,676 Wol.
$47,676 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$47,676 Wol.
$47,676 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 6, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current meteorological forecasts from major agencies converge on a Moscow daytime maximum of 26°C for June 8, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and moderate southerly flow that favor gradual warming without excessive heat. This aligns with seasonal climatology where early-June highs typically reach 20–24°C but can climb a few degrees under favorable synoptic patterns. Model consensus across runs supports this precise threshold, reflected in the market-implied 100% probability. An earlier-than-expected cold front, increased cloud cover, or localized precipitation could cap temperatures below 26°C, while stronger insolation or delayed mixing might push readings slightly higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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