Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) confirm Munich's highest temperature on April 29 reached 18°C at the city-center station (München-Stadt), with the airport (Flughafen) recording 17.7°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Clear skies, light northerly winds around 15 km/h, and low humidity (29-34%) capped daytime heating after a cool start near 8-9°C, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and ICON models projecting 17-19°C amid typical late-April climatology (historical April highs average 13-15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for alternatives, though rare data revisions from secondary stations or instrument adjustments could theoretically challenge it before final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on April 29?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,890 Wol.
$78,890 Wol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,890 Wol.
$78,890 Wol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) confirm Munich's highest temperature on April 29 reached 18°C at the city-center station (München-Stadt), with the airport (Flughafen) recording 17.7°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Clear skies, light northerly winds around 15 km/h, and low humidity (29-34%) capped daytime heating after a cool start near 8-9°C, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and ICON models projecting 17-19°C amid typical late-April climatology (historical April highs average 13-15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for alternatives, though rare data revisions from secondary stations or instrument adjustments could theoretically challenge it before final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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