Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at the München-Flughafen reference station—the standard for such markets—recorded a daily maximum temperature of 14.9°C on April 30, 2026, rounding to 15°C under whole-degree resolution criteria, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with a cooling trend under northerly winds and high pressure, capping surface heating after prior days' warmer readings like 18°C on April 29; Munich's April climatological average high is around 14–15°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation data corrections uncovering a higher sensor reading or resolution disputes over station selection, though DWD airport metrics are authoritative and stable. No further updates expected as the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on April 30?
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$67,699 Wol.
$67,699 Wol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$67,699 Wol.
$67,699 Wol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at the München-Flughafen reference station—the standard for such markets—recorded a daily maximum temperature of 14.9°C on April 30, 2026, rounding to 15°C under whole-degree resolution criteria, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with a cooling trend under northerly winds and high pressure, capping surface heating after prior days' warmer readings like 18°C on April 29; Munich's April climatological average high is around 14–15°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation data corrections uncovering a higher sensor reading or resolution disputes over station selection, though DWD airport metrics are authoritative and stable. No further updates expected as the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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