Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on June 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 4?
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$112,681 Wol.
$112,681 Wol.
Jun 4, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$112,681 Wol.
$112,681 Wol.
Jun 4, 2026
75°F or below
$296 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$1,469 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$4,041 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$4,241 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$17,069 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$20,788 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$23,483 Wol.
Yes
88-89°F
$15,575 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$14,258 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$7,029 Wol.
No
94°F or higher
$4,432 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$112,681Data zakończenia
Jun 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$112,681Data zakończenia
Jun 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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