Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on May 10, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official hourly observations peaking at that level mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 7-10 m/s that limited solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and METAR reports confirm no exceedance, aligning with forecast models predicting 19-23°C highs under a weak high-pressure ridge and increasing cloud cover preventing further intensification. Historical May climatology supports this, with mid-month average highs around 22°C. Resolution awaits final CMA bulletin, but revision is improbable barring measurement anomalies; a late clear-sky burst or data correction could theoretically shift it higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 10?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 10?
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$81,466 Wol.
$81,466 Wol.
May 10, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$81,466 Wol.
$81,466 Wol.
May 10, 2026
21°C or below
$14,423 Wol.
No
22°C
$6,931 Wol.
No
23°C
$33,663 Wol.
Yes
24°C
$8,186 Wol.
No
25°C
$5,058 Wol.
No
26°C
$3,025 Wol.
No
27°C
$2,196 Wol.
No
28°C
$2,622 Wol.
No
29°C
$2,112 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,984 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$1,266 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on May 10, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official hourly observations peaking at that level mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 7-10 m/s that limited solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and METAR reports confirm no exceedance, aligning with forecast models predicting 19-23°C highs under a weak high-pressure ridge and increasing cloud cover preventing further intensification. Historical May climatology supports this, with mid-month average highs around 22°C. Resolution awaits final CMA bulletin, but revision is improbable barring measurement anomalies; a late clear-sky burst or data correction could theoretically shift it higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$81,466Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on May 10, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official hourly observations peaking at that level mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 7-10 m/s that limited solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and METAR reports confirm no exceedance, aligning with forecast models predicting 19-23°C highs under a weak high-pressure ridge and increasing cloud cover preventing further intensification. Historical May climatology supports this, with mid-month average highs around 22°C. Resolution awaits final CMA bulletin, but revision is improbable barring measurement anomalies; a late clear-sky burst or data correction could theoretically shift it higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$81,466Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) on May 10, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official hourly observations peaking at that level mid-afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and southerly winds of 7-10 m/s that limited solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and METAR reports confirm no exceedance, aligning with forecast models predicting 19-23°C highs under a weak high-pressure ridge and increasing cloud cover preventing further intensification. Historical May climatology supports this, with mid-month average highs around 22°C. Resolution awaits final CMA bulletin, but revision is improbable barring measurement anomalies; a late clear-sky burst or data correction could theoretically shift it higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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