Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a high temperature on August 12 most likely near 23–24°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring these outcomes amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns. Stable high-pressure systems and limited moisture are suppressing strong daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and light winds influence maximum readings by modulating solar radiation and boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus from regional agencies shows narrow spreads around seasonal averages of 23–25°C, with minor discrepancies in timing of any clearing skies potentially shifting the peak by 1°C. Upcoming updated guidance from INMET and global ensembles will refine resolution criteria based on official station observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
25°C 20%
22°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
26%
24°C
40%
25°C
20%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
25°C 20%
22°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
26%
24°C
40%
25°C
20%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a high temperature on August 12 most likely near 23–24°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring these outcomes amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns. Stable high-pressure systems and limited moisture are suppressing strong daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and light winds influence maximum readings by modulating solar radiation and boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus from regional agencies shows narrow spreads around seasonal averages of 23–25°C, with minor discrepancies in timing of any clearing skies potentially shifting the peak by 1°C. Upcoming updated guidance from INMET and global ensembles will refine resolution criteria based on official station observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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