Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature on April 16 reached 27.3°C at the official station, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonal early-summer heatwave. Mostly clear skies and a persistent high-pressure system drove daytime highs well above the April climatological average of 18°C, aligning with KMA short-range forecasts of 23–27°C and AccuWeather models. Trader consensus reflects this verified data from real-time monitoring, with large daily temperature swings noted in recent KMA updates. Realistic challenges are negligible post-observation, barring rare data revisions, as final daily maximums are typically set by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
24°C or higher 99.8%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$397,291 Wol.
$397,291 Wol.
Apr 16, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 99.8%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$397,291 Wol.
$397,291 Wol.
Apr 16, 2026
14°C or below
$20,220 Wol.
No
15°C
$15,755 Wol.
No
16°C
$16,871 Wol.
No
17°C
$19,885 Wol.
No
18°C
$31,217 Wol.
No
19°C
$37,839 Wol.
No
20°C
$47,932 Wol.
No
21°C
$48,101 Wol.
No
22°C
$34,397 Wol.
No
23°C
$36,471 Wol.
No
24°C or higher
$88,603 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature on April 16 reached 27.3°C at the official station, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonal early-summer heatwave. Mostly clear skies and a persistent high-pressure system drove daytime highs well above the April climatological average of 18°C, aligning with KMA short-range forecasts of 23–27°C and AccuWeather models. Trader consensus reflects this verified data from real-time monitoring, with large daily temperature swings noted in recent KMA updates. Realistic challenges are negligible post-observation, barring rare data revisions, as final daily maximums are typically set by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$397,291Data zakończenia
Apr 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature on April 16 reached 27.3°C at the official station, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonal early-summer heatwave. Mostly clear skies and a persistent high-pressure system drove daytime highs well above the April climatological average of 18°C, aligning with KMA short-range forecasts of 23–27°C and AccuWeather models. Trader consensus reflects this verified data from real-time monitoring, with large daily temperature swings noted in recent KMA updates. Realistic challenges are negligible post-observation, barring rare data revisions, as final daily maximums are typically set by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$397,291Data zakończenia
Apr 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature on April 16 reached 27.3°C at the official station, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonal early-summer heatwave. Mostly clear skies and a persistent high-pressure system drove daytime highs well above the April climatological average of 18°C, aligning with KMA short-range forecasts of 23–27°C and AccuWeather models. Trader consensus reflects this verified data from real-time monitoring, with large daily temperature swings noted in recent KMA updates. Realistic challenges are negligible post-observation, barring rare data revisions, as final daily maximums are typically set by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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