Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$71,401 Wol.
$71,401 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$71,401 Wol.
$71,401 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
$372 Wol.
No
23°C
$735 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,251 Wol.
No
25°C
$2,687 Wol.
No
26°C
$4,194 Wol.
No
27°C
$8,994 Wol.
No
28°C
$8,349 Wol.
No
29°C
$5,547 Wol.
No
30°C
$9,981 Wol.
No
31°C
$17,011 Wol.
Yes
32°C or higher
$12,281 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$71,401Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$71,401Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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