Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 20?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 20?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$72,511 Wol.
$72,511 Wol.
May 20, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$72,511 Wol.
$72,511 Wol.
May 20, 2026
21°C or below
$5,900 Wol.
No
22°C
$65 Wol.
No
23°C
$88 Wol.
No
24°C
$94 Wol.
No
25°C
$755 Wol.
No
26°C
$5,372 Wol.
No
27°C
$2,296 Wol.
No
28°C
$15,665 Wol.
No
29°C
$14,582 Wol.
No
30°C
$15,098 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$12,596 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$72,511Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$72,511Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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