Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 23?
31°C 100%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$64,313 Wol.
$64,313 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$64,313 Wol.
$64,313 Wol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 21, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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