Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official Meteorological Service Singapore observations showing a daytime peak of around 32°C at key stations like Changi Airport amid afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas. These showers reduced solar insolation and suppressed convective heating after midday peaks, aligning with equatorial climatology where daily maxima typically occur between noon and 3 p.m. under light easterly winds (5-15 km/h). Current evening readings near 28°C, post-peak heating window, solidify this positioning per NEA real-time data. A realistic challenge would require a late-reported revision exceeding 32.5°C at the resolving station, though unlikely given stabilized conditions and historical April baselines around 31-33°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on April 26?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$94,504 Wol.
$94,504 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$94,504 Wol.
$94,504 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official Meteorological Service Singapore observations showing a daytime peak of around 32°C at key stations like Changi Airport amid afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas. These showers reduced solar insolation and suppressed convective heating after midday peaks, aligning with equatorial climatology where daily maxima typically occur between noon and 3 p.m. under light easterly winds (5-15 km/h). Current evening readings near 28°C, post-peak heating window, solidify this positioning per NEA real-time data. A realistic challenge would require a late-reported revision exceeding 32.5°C at the resolving station, though unlikely given stabilized conditions and historical April baselines around 31-33°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania