Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime typically cap daily maxima near 31–32°C, but the National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier-than-average conditions through mid-August—reinforced by an emerging moderate El Niño—has lifted expectations for 33–34°C readings on most days. A verified 34°C observation at Sembawang on August 15 underscores this modest upward tilt while afternoon thundery showers and high humidity continue to moderate extremes, keeping the bulk of market-implied probability on 32°C and 33°C. Model consensus and typical convective timing limit the chance of 34°C or higher, with traders monitoring the next official station data for any last adjustments before the August 18 resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on August 18?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 18?
32°C 55%
33°C 34%
34°C 9%
31°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
55%
33°C
34%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
33°C 34%
34°C 9%
31°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
$120 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$174 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$152 Wol.
2%
31°C
$125 Wol.
7%
32°C
$1,169 Wol.
55%
33°C
$216 Wol.
34%
34°C
$594 Wol.
9%
35°C
$67 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$22 Wol.
1%
37°C
$186 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$186 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime typically cap daily maxima near 31–32°C, but the National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier-than-average conditions through mid-August—reinforced by an emerging moderate El Niño—has lifted expectations for 33–34°C readings on most days. A verified 34°C observation at Sembawang on August 15 underscores this modest upward tilt while afternoon thundery showers and high humidity continue to moderate extremes, keeping the bulk of market-implied probability on 32°C and 33°C. Model consensus and typical convective timing limit the chance of 34°C or higher, with traders monitoring the next official station data for any last adjustments before the August 18 resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,009Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime typically cap daily maxima near 31–32°C, but the National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier-than-average conditions through mid-August—reinforced by an emerging moderate El Niño—has lifted expectations for 33–34°C readings on most days. A verified 34°C observation at Sembawang on August 15 underscores this modest upward tilt while afternoon thundery showers and high humidity continue to moderate extremes, keeping the bulk of market-implied probability on 32°C and 33°C. Model consensus and typical convective timing limit the chance of 34°C or higher, with traders monitoring the next official station data for any last adjustments before the August 18 resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,009Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime typically cap daily maxima near 31–32°C, but the National Environment Agency’s late-July outlook for drier-than-average conditions through mid-August—reinforced by an emerging moderate El Niño—has lifted expectations for 33–34°C readings on most days. A verified 34°C observation at Sembawang on August 15 underscores this modest upward tilt while afternoon thundery showers and high humidity continue to moderate extremes, keeping the bulk of market-implied probability on 32°C and 33°C. Model consensus and typical convective timing limit the chance of 34°C or higher, with traders monitoring the next official station data for any last adjustments before the August 18 resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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