**Recent model consensus and climatological norms position 32–33°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on July 29.** Long-range forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and BBC Weather currently indicate highs of 31–32°C (88–90°F), consistent with the city’s July average high of approximately 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical high and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes. These conditions typically suppress extreme spikes compared with inland areas, producing a narrow daily temperature distribution. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the date, with the central tendency near 32–33°C and only modest upside risk toward 34°C. No major heat-wave signals or anomalous synoptic patterns (such as strong subsidence or easterly flow) appear in the latest runs, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (54%) and 32°C (31.5%). As the event nears, traders will monitor updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance for any shifts in the forecast maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 29?
33°C 52%
32°C 35%
34°C 13%
36°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 29, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
35%
33°C
52%
34°C
13%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
2%
33°C 52%
32°C 35%
34°C 13%
36°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 29, 2026
28°C or below
$121 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$20 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$70 Wol.
3%
31°C
$197 Wol.
3%
32°C
$134 Wol.
35%
33°C
$76 Wol.
52%
34°C
$51 Wol.
13%
35°C
$69 Wol.
3%
36°C
$18 Wol.
5%
37°C
$10 Wol.
2%
38°C or higher
$10 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and climatological norms position 32–33°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on July 29.** Long-range forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and BBC Weather currently indicate highs of 31–32°C (88–90°F), consistent with the city’s July average high of approximately 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical high and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes. These conditions typically suppress extreme spikes compared with inland areas, producing a narrow daily temperature distribution.
Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the date, with the central tendency near 32–33°C and only modest upside risk toward 34°C. No major heat-wave signals or anomalous synoptic patterns (such as strong subsidence or easterly flow) appear in the latest runs, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (54%) and 32°C (31.5%). As the event nears, traders will monitor updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance for any shifts in the forecast maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$776Data zakończenia
Jul 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and climatological norms position 32–33°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on July 29.** Long-range forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and BBC Weather currently indicate highs of 31–32°C (88–90°F), consistent with the city’s July average high of approximately 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical high and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes. These conditions typically suppress extreme spikes compared with inland areas, producing a narrow daily temperature distribution.
Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the date, with the central tendency near 32–33°C and only modest upside risk toward 34°C. No major heat-wave signals or anomalous synoptic patterns (such as strong subsidence or easterly flow) appear in the latest runs, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (54%) and 32°C (31.5%). As the event nears, traders will monitor updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance for any shifts in the forecast maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$776Data zakończenia
Jul 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus and climatological norms position 32–33°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on July 29.** Long-range forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and BBC Weather currently indicate highs of 31–32°C (88–90°F), consistent with the city’s July average high of approximately 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical high and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes. These conditions typically suppress extreme spikes compared with inland areas, producing a narrow daily temperature distribution. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread for the date, with the central tendency near 32–33°C and only modest upside risk toward 34°C. No major heat-wave signals or anomalous synoptic patterns (such as strong subsidence or easterly flow) appear in the latest runs, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (54%) and 32°C (31.5%). As the event nears, traders will monitor updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance for any shifts in the forecast maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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