Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 8°C at 3:00 PM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent mostly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 11–22 km/h, and a cool air mass suppressed daytime heating, peaking below the pre-event ECCC forecast of 9°C from hourly guidance models. Historical May norms around 17–18°C underscore the anomalously cool conditions amid early spring variability. Post-resolution, only an unprecedented data correction by the market's source, Wunderground's finalized CYYZ records, could challenge this positioning, though such revisions are rare after verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 2?
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$76,052 Wol.
$76,052 Wol.
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$76,052 Wol.
$76,052 Wol.
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 8°C at 3:00 PM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent mostly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 11–22 km/h, and a cool air mass suppressed daytime heating, peaking below the pre-event ECCC forecast of 9°C from hourly guidance models. Historical May norms around 17–18°C underscore the anomalously cool conditions amid early spring variability. Post-resolution, only an unprecedented data correction by the market's source, Wunderground's finalized CYYZ records, could challenge this positioning, though such revisions are rare after verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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