Traders assign near-certainty to a Zhengzhou maximum of 32 °C or higher on August 16 because official forecasts from regional meteorological services and global models consistently project daytime highs of 32–34 °C under partly cloudy, humid summer conditions. Typical August climatology for the North China Plain features peak solar insolation, weak steering winds, and high dew points that sustain surface temperatures well above 30 °C; current model consensus shows no significant cloud cover or frontal passage capable of suppressing the daily maximum. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted mesoscale convective system or rapid increase in low-level moisture and cloudiness that reduces net radiation, though such developments remain low-probability given the stability of the subtropical ridge and the timing of peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 16?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 16?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$254 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$100 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$100 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$269 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$354 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$110 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$374 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$325 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$722 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,734 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$836 Wol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a Zhengzhou maximum of 32 °C or higher on August 16 because official forecasts from regional meteorological services and global models consistently project daytime highs of 32–34 °C under partly cloudy, humid summer conditions. Typical August climatology for the North China Plain features peak solar insolation, weak steering winds, and high dew points that sustain surface temperatures well above 30 °C; current model consensus shows no significant cloud cover or frontal passage capable of suppressing the daily maximum. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted mesoscale convective system or rapid increase in low-level moisture and cloudiness that reduces net radiation, though such developments remain low-probability given the stability of the subtropical ridge and the timing of peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,178Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a Zhengzhou maximum of 32 °C or higher on August 16 because official forecasts from regional meteorological services and global models consistently project daytime highs of 32–34 °C under partly cloudy, humid summer conditions. Typical August climatology for the North China Plain features peak solar insolation, weak steering winds, and high dew points that sustain surface temperatures well above 30 °C; current model consensus shows no significant cloud cover or frontal passage capable of suppressing the daily maximum. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted mesoscale convective system or rapid increase in low-level moisture and cloudiness that reduces net radiation, though such developments remain low-probability given the stability of the subtropical ridge and the timing of peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,178Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign near-certainty to a Zhengzhou maximum of 32 °C or higher on August 16 because official forecasts from regional meteorological services and global models consistently project daytime highs of 32–34 °C under partly cloudy, humid summer conditions. Typical August climatology for the North China Plain features peak solar insolation, weak steering winds, and high dew points that sustain surface temperatures well above 30 °C; current model consensus shows no significant cloud cover or frontal passage capable of suppressing the daily maximum. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted mesoscale convective system or rapid increase in low-level moisture and cloudiness that reduces net radiation, though such developments remain low-probability given the stability of the subtropical ridge and the timing of peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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