Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high of 32–35°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light easterly or northeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–80%. Real-time observations already show temperatures climbing through the low 30s°C by midday, consistent with typical late-August conditions in the region. This strong model consensus and ongoing heat drive the near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. Only an abrupt, unforeseen shift—such as dense cloud cover or unpredicted rainfall—could realistically prevent the threshold from being met, though no such developments appear in current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
32°C or higher 99.9%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.9%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$185 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$185 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$185 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$185 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,140 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,140 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,009 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$812 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$657 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$205 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$512 Wol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high of 32–35°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light easterly or northeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–80%. Real-time observations already show temperatures climbing through the low 30s°C by midday, consistent with typical late-August conditions in the region. This strong model consensus and ongoing heat drive the near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. Only an abrupt, unforeseen shift—such as dense cloud cover or unpredicted rainfall—could realistically prevent the threshold from being met, though no such developments appear in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,215Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high of 32–35°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light easterly or northeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–80%. Real-time observations already show temperatures climbing through the low 30s°C by midday, consistent with typical late-August conditions in the region. This strong model consensus and ongoing heat drive the near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. Only an abrupt, unforeseen shift—such as dense cloud cover or unpredicted rainfall—could realistically prevent the threshold from being met, though no such developments appear in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,215Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily high of 32–35°C in Zhengzhou on August 26, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light easterly or northeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60–80%. Real-time observations already show temperatures climbing through the low 30s°C by midday, consistent with typical late-August conditions in the region. This strong model consensus and ongoing heat drive the near-certain market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. Only an abrupt, unforeseen shift—such as dense cloud cover or unpredicted rainfall—could realistically prevent the threshold from being met, though no such developments appear in current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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