Idaho’s 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him to face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Republican, underscoring limited Democratic viability in this eastern and northern Idaho district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established voting patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late-breaking national shift, major scandal involving the nominee, or unexpected turnout surge could still affect the outcome before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoID-02 House Election Winner
ID-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,049 Wol.
93%
Democratic Party
$3,409 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him to face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Republican, underscoring limited Democratic viability in this eastern and northern Idaho district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established voting patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late-breaking national shift, major scandal involving the nominee, or unexpected turnout surge could still affect the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,458Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him to face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Republican, underscoring limited Democratic viability in this eastern and northern Idaho district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established voting patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late-breaking national shift, major scandal involving the nominee, or unexpected turnout surge could still affect the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$6,458Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 2nd congressional district maintains a solid Republican advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent strong performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him to face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Republican, underscoring limited Democratic viability in this eastern and northern Idaho district. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s established voting patterns and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late-breaking national shift, major scandal involving the nominee, or unexpected turnout surge could still affect the outcome before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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