Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him as the clear general election favorite against Democrat Kaylee Peterson. July polling showed Fulcher ahead by double digits, consistent with the seat’s voting history and low Democratic competitiveness. With the November 3 general election approaching, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Republican victory based on these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoID-01 House Election Winner
$48,209 Wol.
$48,209 Wol.
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
3%
$48,209 Wol.
$48,209 Wol.
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him as the clear general election favorite against Democrat Kaylee Peterson. July polling showed Fulcher ahead by double digits, consistent with the seat’s voting history and low Democratic competitiveness. With the November 3 general election approaching, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Republican victory based on these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania