California's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with Jacqui Irwin advancing as the party's nominee after the June top-two primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the open seat—vacated by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley—as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean in Ventura County suburbs and agricultural areas. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these assessments and historical performance in similar California districts. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the GOP or a significant local development capable of shifting voter turnout and coalition alignment in this battleground-leaning but reliably blue constituency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-26 House Election Winner
CA-26 House Election Winner
$32,154 Wol.
$32,154 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$32,154 Wol.
$32,154 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,426 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$15,728 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with Jacqui Irwin advancing as the party's nominee after the June top-two primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the open seat—vacated by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley—as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean in Ventura County suburbs and agricultural areas. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these assessments and historical performance in similar California districts. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the GOP or a significant local development capable of shifting voter turnout and coalition alignment in this battleground-leaning but reliably blue constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,154Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with Jacqui Irwin advancing as the party's nominee after the June top-two primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the open seat—vacated by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley—as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean in Ventura County suburbs and agricultural areas. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these assessments and historical performance in similar California districts. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the GOP or a significant local development capable of shifting voter turnout and coalition alignment in this battleground-leaning but reliably blue constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$32,154Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with Jacqui Irwin advancing as the party's nominee after the June top-two primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the open seat—vacated by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley—as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean in Ventura County suburbs and agricultural areas. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these assessments and historical performance in similar California districts. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong national midterm environment for the GOP or a significant local development capable of shifting voter turnout and coalition alignment in this battleground-leaning but reliably blue constituency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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