Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch commands 97% trader consensus to win Idaho's Republican Senate primary on May 19, reflecting his three-term record, superior name recognition, and fundraising dominance as a longtime GOP establishment figure in the deep-red state. Challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—a data engineer Army veteran, entrepreneur, and engineer, respectively—have filed but show minimal traction amid absent primary polling and Risch's institutional support. Absentee ballots began mailing last week, with early voting starting April 27, yet no recent scandals, endorsements shifts, or voter shifts have dented his lead. Upsets could arise from a late health event, major controversy, or unusually low turnout favoring insurgents, though historical Idaho GOP primary patterns favor incumbents.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJim Risch
97%
Joe Evans
1%
Jim Risch
97%
Joe Evans
1%
If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch commands 97% trader consensus to win Idaho's Republican Senate primary on May 19, reflecting his three-term record, superior name recognition, and fundraising dominance as a longtime GOP establishment figure in the deep-red state. Challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—a data engineer Army veteran, entrepreneur, and engineer, respectively—have filed but show minimal traction amid absent primary polling and Risch's institutional support. Absentee ballots began mailing last week, with early voting starting April 27, yet no recent scandals, endorsements shifts, or voter shifts have dented his lead. Upsets could arise from a late health event, major controversy, or unusually low turnout favoring insurgents, though historical Idaho GOP primary patterns favor incumbents.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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