Republican incumbent Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race, backed by the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his 74% victory margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Bost advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Julie Fortier, a research microbiologist and Air Force veteran with no prior elected experience, faces a steep fundraising disadvantage. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require a major scandal affecting Bost, an unexpected Democratic turnout surge across this rural southern Illinois district, or unforeseen late momentum for Fortier.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$25,106 Wol.
$25,106 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
97%
Democratic Party
3%
$25,106 Wol.
$25,106 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$13,994 Wol.
97%
Democratic Party
$11,112 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race, backed by the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his 74% victory margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Bost advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Julie Fortier, a research microbiologist and Air Force veteran with no prior elected experience, faces a steep fundraising disadvantage. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require a major scandal affecting Bost, an unexpected Democratic turnout surge across this rural southern Illinois district, or unforeseen late momentum for Fortier.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,106Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race, backed by the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his 74% victory margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Bost advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Julie Fortier, a research microbiologist and Air Force veteran with no prior elected experience, faces a steep fundraising disadvantage. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require a major scandal affecting Bost, an unexpected Democratic turnout surge across this rural southern Illinois district, or unforeseen late momentum for Fortier.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$25,106Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race, backed by the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his 74% victory margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Bost advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while Democratic nominee Julie Fortier, a research microbiologist and Air Force veteran with no prior elected experience, faces a steep fundraising disadvantage. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. An upset would require a major scandal affecting Bost, an unexpected Democratic turnout surge across this rural southern Illinois district, or unforeseen late momentum for Fortier.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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