A U.S.-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon, targeting Iran-backed Hezbollah, took effect on April 16, 2026, following rare direct talks in Washington, halting cross-border strikes amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war that escalated in early March. The truce, welcomed by Hezbollah, has largely held despite isolated incidents like rocket fire killing Israeli soldiers and Israeli warnings against Lebanese returns to southern border areas where troops remain deployed. This de-escalation signal supports broader U.S.-Iran negotiations, with potential extensions tied to Lebanon's sovereignty enforcement against Hezbollah; upcoming White House talks between Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Lebanese President Aoun could shape permanent ceasefire prospects before the truce expires around April 26.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIzrael x Hezbollah zawieszenie broni przez...?
Izrael x Hezbollah zawieszenie broni przez...?
$112,638,018 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
31 marca
Nie
15 kwietnia
Nie
18 kwietnia
Tak
21 kwietnia
Tak
30 kwietnia
Tak
30 czerwca
Tak
$112,638,018 Wol.
31 marca
$376,672 Wol.
Nie
15 kwietnia
$7,833,258 Wol.
Nie
18 kwietnia
$98,599,882 Wol.
Tak
21 kwietnia
$695,526 Wol.
Tak
30 kwietnia
$4,369,571 Wol.
Tak
30 czerwca
$763,110 Wol.
Tak
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.A U.S.-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon, targeting Iran-backed Hezbollah, took effect on April 16, 2026, following rare direct talks in Washington, halting cross-border strikes amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war that escalated in early March. The truce, welcomed by Hezbollah, has largely held despite isolated incidents like rocket fire killing Israeli soldiers and Israeli warnings against Lebanese returns to southern border areas where troops remain deployed. This de-escalation signal supports broader U.S.-Iran negotiations, with potential extensions tied to Lebanon's sovereignty enforcement against Hezbollah; upcoming White House talks between Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Lebanese President Aoun could shape permanent ceasefire prospects before the truce expires around April 26.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 2, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Wolumen
$112,638,018Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 2, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.A U.S.-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon, targeting Iran-backed Hezbollah, took effect on April 16, 2026, following rare direct talks in Washington, halting cross-border strikes amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war that escalated in early March. The truce, welcomed by Hezbollah, has largely held despite isolated incidents like rocket fire killing Israeli soldiers and Israeli warnings against Lebanese returns to southern border areas where troops remain deployed. This de-escalation signal supports broader U.S.-Iran negotiations, with potential extensions tied to Lebanon's sovereignty enforcement against Hezbollah; upcoming White House talks between Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Lebanese President Aoun could shape permanent ceasefire prospects before the truce expires around April 26.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Wolumen
$112,638,018Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 2, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
A U.S.-brokered 10-day cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon, targeting Iran-backed Hezbollah, took effect on April 16, 2026, following rare direct talks in Washington, halting cross-border strikes amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war that escalated in early March. The truce, welcomed by Hezbollah, has largely held despite isolated incidents like rocket fire killing Israeli soldiers and Israeli warnings against Lebanese returns to southern border areas where troops remain deployed. This de-escalation signal supports broader U.S.-Iran negotiations, with potential extensions tied to Lebanon's sovereignty enforcement against Hezbollah; upcoming White House talks between Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Lebanese President Aoun could shape permanent ceasefire prospects before the truce expires around April 26.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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