**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight low in Istanbul on September 2, 2026, is most likely to settle near 20–22°C.** This range aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities, particularly the 61.5% on 22°C. Persistent high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with light-to-moderate northeasterly flow, is maintaining a stable, subsiding air mass. Clear or mostly clear skies overnight promote radiative cooling, yet the underlying warm seasonal air prevents deeper drops. Model consensus (including ECMWF and GFS guidance referenced in local forecasts) shows nighttime minima holding in the low 20s °C, with daytime maxima reaching 28–30°C. Climatologically, early-September lows in Istanbul average near 17–18°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly. No incoming fronts, significant moisture advection, or wind shifts are expected before resolution, keeping the probability distribution tightly clustered around 20–23°C. Updated model runs or surface observations over the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum, but the current setup strongly favors the leading market outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 2?
21°C 100%
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
20°C 99%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
8%
17°C
13%
18°C
13%
19°C
78%
20°C
99%
21°C
100%
22°C
62%
23°C
100%
24°C
77%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
9%
21°C 100%
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
20°C 99%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$5 Wol.
8%
17°C
$57 Wol.
13%
18°C
$69 Wol.
13%
19°C
$0 Wol.
78%
20°C
$0 Wol.
99%
21°C
$0 Wol.
100%
22°C
$0 Wol.
62%
23°C
$0 Wol.
100%
24°C
$4 Wol.
77%
25°C
$5 Wol.
100%
26°C or higher
$5 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight low in Istanbul on September 2, 2026, is most likely to settle near 20–22°C.** This range aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities, particularly the 61.5% on 22°C.
Persistent high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with light-to-moderate northeasterly flow, is maintaining a stable, subsiding air mass. Clear or mostly clear skies overnight promote radiative cooling, yet the underlying warm seasonal air prevents deeper drops. Model consensus (including ECMWF and GFS guidance referenced in local forecasts) shows nighttime minima holding in the low 20s °C, with daytime maxima reaching 28–30°C.
Climatologically, early-September lows in Istanbul average near 17–18°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly. No incoming fronts, significant moisture advection, or wind shifts are expected before resolution, keeping the probability distribution tightly clustered around 20–23°C. Updated model runs or surface observations over the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum, but the current setup strongly favors the leading market outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$145Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight low in Istanbul on September 2, 2026, is most likely to settle near 20–22°C.** This range aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities, particularly the 61.5% on 22°C.
Persistent high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with light-to-moderate northeasterly flow, is maintaining a stable, subsiding air mass. Clear or mostly clear skies overnight promote radiative cooling, yet the underlying warm seasonal air prevents deeper drops. Model consensus (including ECMWF and GFS guidance referenced in local forecasts) shows nighttime minima holding in the low 20s °C, with daytime maxima reaching 28–30°C.
Climatologically, early-September lows in Istanbul average near 17–18°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly. No incoming fronts, significant moisture advection, or wind shifts are expected before resolution, keeping the probability distribution tightly clustered around 20–23°C. Updated model runs or surface observations over the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum, but the current setup strongly favors the leading market outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$145Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight low in Istanbul on September 2, 2026, is most likely to settle near 20–22°C.** This range aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities, particularly the 61.5% on 22°C. Persistent high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean, combined with light-to-moderate northeasterly flow, is maintaining a stable, subsiding air mass. Clear or mostly clear skies overnight promote radiative cooling, yet the underlying warm seasonal air prevents deeper drops. Model consensus (including ECMWF and GFS guidance referenced in local forecasts) shows nighttime minima holding in the low 20s °C, with daytime maxima reaching 28–30°C. Climatologically, early-September lows in Istanbul average near 17–18°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly. No incoming fronts, significant moisture advection, or wind shifts are expected before resolution, keeping the probability distribution tightly clustered around 20–23°C. Updated model runs or surface observations over the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact minimum, but the current setup strongly favors the leading market outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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