National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on April 23?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 23?
44-45°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$73,489 Wol.
$73,489 Wol.
Apr 23, 2026
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
Yes
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
No
44-45°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$73,489 Wol.
$73,489 Wol.
Apr 23, 2026
39°F or below
$2,883 Wol.
No
40-41°F
$4,285 Wol.
No
42-43°F
$6,245 Wol.
No
44-45°F
$26,647 Wol.
Yes
46-47°F
$9,522 Wol.
No
48-49°F
$4,329 Wol.
No
50-51°F
$3,589 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$2,221 Wol.
No
54-55°F
$827 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$715 Wol.
No
58°F or higher
$12,227 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$73,489Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$73,489Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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