Trader consensus favors a 13°C or 14°C low in Paris on September 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and Météo-France ensemble runs showing overnight minima clustered in that narrow band under early-autumn synoptic patterns. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light winds could allow temperatures to dip toward 13°C, while modest cloud cover or a weak southerly advection would likely hold the minimum near 14°C. The closely matched implied probabilities highlight genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and surface energy balance, with new model cycles expected before resolution. This range aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Paris basin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 2?
13°C 36%
15°C 31%
14°C 30%
16°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
11%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
36%
14°C
30%
15°C
31%
16°C
29%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
13°C 36%
15°C 31%
14°C 30%
16°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Wol.
11%
11°C
$0 Wol.
9%
12°C
$20 Wol.
9%
13°C
$118 Wol.
36%
14°C
$218 Wol.
30%
15°C
$3 Wol.
31%
16°C
$20 Wol.
29%
17°C
$0 Wol.
6%
18°C
$45 Wol.
5%
19°C
$45 Wol.
1%
20°C or higher
$66 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 13°C or 14°C low in Paris on September 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and Météo-France ensemble runs showing overnight minima clustered in that narrow band under early-autumn synoptic patterns. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light winds could allow temperatures to dip toward 13°C, while modest cloud cover or a weak southerly advection would likely hold the minimum near 14°C. The closely matched implied probabilities highlight genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and surface energy balance, with new model cycles expected before resolution. This range aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Paris basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$536Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 13°C or 14°C low in Paris on September 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and Météo-France ensemble runs showing overnight minima clustered in that narrow band under early-autumn synoptic patterns. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light winds could allow temperatures to dip toward 13°C, while modest cloud cover or a weak southerly advection would likely hold the minimum near 14°C. The closely matched implied probabilities highlight genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and surface energy balance, with new model cycles expected before resolution. This range aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Paris basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$536Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 13°C or 14°C low in Paris on September 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and Météo-France ensemble runs showing overnight minima clustered in that narrow band under early-autumn synoptic patterns. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light winds could allow temperatures to dip toward 13°C, while modest cloud cover or a weak southerly advection would likely hold the minimum near 14°C. The closely matched implied probabilities highlight genuine short-range forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and surface energy balance, with new model cycles expected before resolution. This range aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Paris basin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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