Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 16, 2026, amid continued showers and high humidity under East Asian monsoon influences. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit nighttime radiative cooling, sustaining elevated lows near or slightly above the typical late-summer baseline of 22–24°C. Recent model consensus and observed trends after earlier heat episodes reinforce this range, with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 24°C (45.5%) and 25°C (29.5%) reflecting alignment with KMA guidance and limited upside for cooler or warmer outliers absent major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the overnight period remain key monitoring points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
24°C 46%
25°C 30%
23°C 22%
22°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
22%
24°C
46%
25°C
30%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
25°C 30%
23°C 22%
22°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
$55 Wol.
1%
20°C
$46 Wol.
1%
21°C
$80 Wol.
2%
22°C
$259 Wol.
4%
23°C
$515 Wol.
22%
24°C
$1,556 Wol.
46%
25°C
$657 Wol.
30%
26°C
$148 Wol.
4%
27°C
$39 Wol.
3%
28°C
$37 Wol.
1%
29°C or higher
$48 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 16, 2026, amid continued showers and high humidity under East Asian monsoon influences. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit nighttime radiative cooling, sustaining elevated lows near or slightly above the typical late-summer baseline of 22–24°C. Recent model consensus and observed trends after earlier heat episodes reinforce this range, with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 24°C (45.5%) and 25°C (29.5%) reflecting alignment with KMA guidance and limited upside for cooler or warmer outliers absent major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the overnight period remain key monitoring points.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,439Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 16, 2026, amid continued showers and high humidity under East Asian monsoon influences. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit nighttime radiative cooling, sustaining elevated lows near or slightly above the typical late-summer baseline of 22–24°C. Recent model consensus and observed trends after earlier heat episodes reinforce this range, with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 24°C (45.5%) and 25°C (29.5%) reflecting alignment with KMA guidance and limited upside for cooler or warmer outliers absent major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the overnight period remain key monitoring points.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,439Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 16, 2026, amid continued showers and high humidity under East Asian monsoon influences. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit nighttime radiative cooling, sustaining elevated lows near or slightly above the typical late-summer baseline of 22–24°C. Recent model consensus and observed trends after earlier heat episodes reinforce this range, with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 24°C (45.5%) and 25°C (29.5%) reflecting alignment with KMA guidance and limited upside for cooler or warmer outliers absent major forecast shifts. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the overnight period remain key monitoring points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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