Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on June 20?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 20?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$16,299 Wol.
$16,299 Wol.
Jun 20, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$16,299 Wol.
$16,299 Wol.
Jun 20, 2026
17°C or below
$873 Wol.
No
18°C
$927 Wol.
No
19°C
$2,326 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,439 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,336 Wol.
Yes
22°C
$1,772 Wol.
No
23°C
$611 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,282 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,236 Wol.
No
26°C
$914 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$582 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,299Data zakończenia
Jun 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,299Data zakończenia
Jun 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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