Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 24?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,780 Wol.
$31,780 Wol.
Jun 24, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,780 Wol.
$31,780 Wol.
Jun 24, 2026
18°C or below
$862 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,149 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,528 Wol.
No
21°C
$4,315 Wol.
No
22°C
$11,105 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$3,972 Wol.
No
24°C
$6,068 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,040 Wol.
No
26°C
$497 Wol.
No
27°C
$481 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$763 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$31,780Data zakończenia
Jun 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$31,780Data zakończenia
Jun 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus clusters around 20–23°C for Shanghai’s June 24 minimum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from regional models that show persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu front. These conditions limit daytime heating while suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal 21–22°C climatological average. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No strong high-pressure ridging or clear-sky advection is indicated in the 48-hour window, supporting the narrow probability distribution and low odds for extremes below 19°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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