Recent model consensus highlights a southerly wind shift and associated frontal system arriving over Wellington on September 6–7, driving cooler advection and widespread rain that supports the clustered market-implied odds around 4–8 °C lows. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity will limit nighttime radiative cooling, while variable wind speeds and exact timing of the change introduce spread in forecast minima across guidance such as GFS and ECMWF runs. El Niño-enhanced westerlies add seasonal variability but play a secondary role to this short-term synoptic pattern. Updated high-resolution model outputs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official overnight observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 7?
14°C or higher 69%
6°C 46%
10°C 44%
4°C or below 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
4°C or below
36%
5°C
27%
6°C
46%
7°C
25%
8°C
35%
9°C
27%
10°C
44%
11°C
26%
12°C
5%
13°C
18%
14°C or higher
69%
14°C or higher 69%
6°C 46%
10°C 44%
4°C or below 36%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Wol.
36%
5°C
$123 Wol.
27%
6°C
$0 Wol.
46%
7°C
$0 Wol.
25%
8°C
$0 Wol.
35%
9°C
$0 Wol.
27%
10°C
$43 Wol.
44%
11°C
$89 Wol.
26%
12°C
$37 Wol.
5%
13°C
$81 Wol.
18%
14°C or higher
$0 Wol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus highlights a southerly wind shift and associated frontal system arriving over Wellington on September 6–7, driving cooler advection and widespread rain that supports the clustered market-implied odds around 4–8 °C lows. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity will limit nighttime radiative cooling, while variable wind speeds and exact timing of the change introduce spread in forecast minima across guidance such as GFS and ECMWF runs. El Niño-enhanced westerlies add seasonal variability but play a secondary role to this short-term synoptic pattern. Updated high-resolution model outputs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$373Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus highlights a southerly wind shift and associated frontal system arriving over Wellington on September 6–7, driving cooler advection and widespread rain that supports the clustered market-implied odds around 4–8 °C lows. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity will limit nighttime radiative cooling, while variable wind speeds and exact timing of the change introduce spread in forecast minima across guidance such as GFS and ECMWF runs. El Niño-enhanced westerlies add seasonal variability but play a secondary role to this short-term synoptic pattern. Updated high-resolution model outputs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$373Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus highlights a southerly wind shift and associated frontal system arriving over Wellington on September 6–7, driving cooler advection and widespread rain that supports the clustered market-implied odds around 4–8 °C lows. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity will limit nighttime radiative cooling, while variable wind speeds and exact timing of the change introduce spread in forecast minima across guidance such as GFS and ECMWF runs. El Niño-enhanced westerlies add seasonal variability but play a secondary role to this short-term synoptic pattern. Updated high-resolution model outputs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official overnight observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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