Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 100%, reflecting the absence of any confirmed in-person talks on May 10 amid stalled negotiations. President Trump publicly rejected Iran's latest counter-proposal to a US ceasefire plan—delivered via Pakistani mediators—as "totally unacceptable," underscoring persistent divides over sanctions relief, nuclear enrichment, and Strait of Hormuz access. Indirect diplomacy through Qatar and Pakistan continues without breakthroughs, following April's Pakistan-hosted sessions and a fragile war ceasefire. While trader pricing embodies skin-in-the-game skepticism, a last-minute official announcement of direct engagement before midnight ET could challenge this, though recent rhetoric and naval tensions make it improbable. Upcoming Trump-Xi summit on May 14-15 may address Iran indirectly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?
No Meeting before May 11 100.0%
April 22 <1%
April 23 <1%
April 24 <1%
$1,993,985 Wol.
$1,993,985 Wol.
May 10, 2026
April 22
No
April 23
No
April 24
No
April 25
No
April 26
No
April 27
No
April 28
No
April 29
No
April 30
No
May 1
No
May 2
No
May 3
No
May 4
No
May 5
No
May 6
No
May 7
No
May 8
No
May 9
No
May 10
No
No Meeting before May 11
Yes
No Meeting before May 11 100.0%
April 22 <1%
April 23 <1%
April 24 <1%
$1,993,985 Wol.
$1,993,985 Wol.
May 10, 2026
April 22
$7,333 Wol.
No
April 23
$25,092 Wol.
No
April 24
$41,979 Wol.
No
April 25
$97,726 Wol.
No
April 26
$127,100 Wol.
No
April 27
$90,518 Wol.
No
April 28
$94,406 Wol.
No
April 29
$71,016 Wol.
No
April 30
$69,706 Wol.
No
May 1
$36,163 Wol.
No
May 2
$38,374 Wol.
No
May 3
$35,651 Wol.
No
May 4
$45,714 Wol.
No
May 5
$65,909 Wol.
No
May 6
$56,498 Wol.
No
May 7
$90,464 Wol.
No
May 8
$78,671 Wol.
No
May 9
$90,953 Wol.
No
May 10
$97,536 Wol.
No
No Meeting before May 11
$733,178 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 100%, reflecting the absence of any confirmed in-person talks on May 10 amid stalled negotiations. President Trump publicly rejected Iran's latest counter-proposal to a US ceasefire plan—delivered via Pakistani mediators—as "totally unacceptable," underscoring persistent divides over sanctions relief, nuclear enrichment, and Strait of Hormuz access. Indirect diplomacy through Qatar and Pakistan continues without breakthroughs, following April's Pakistan-hosted sessions and a fragile war ceasefire. While trader pricing embodies skin-in-the-game skepticism, a last-minute official announcement of direct engagement before midnight ET could challenge this, though recent rhetoric and naval tensions make it improbable. Upcoming Trump-Xi summit on May 14-15 may address Iran indirectly.
This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 21, 2026, 7:19 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,993,985Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 100%, reflecting the absence of any confirmed in-person talks on May 10 amid stalled negotiations. President Trump publicly rejected Iran's latest counter-proposal to a US ceasefire plan—delivered via Pakistani mediators—as "totally unacceptable," underscoring persistent divides over sanctions relief, nuclear enrichment, and Strait of Hormuz access. Indirect diplomacy through Qatar and Pakistan continues without breakthroughs, following April's Pakistan-hosted sessions and a fragile war ceasefire. While trader pricing embodies skin-in-the-game skepticism, a last-minute official announcement of direct engagement before midnight ET could challenge this, though recent rhetoric and naval tensions make it improbable. Upcoming Trump-Xi summit on May 14-15 may address Iran indirectly.
This market will resolve according to the listed date (Pakistan Standard Time) on which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran occurs.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If no qualifying meeting occurs by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM Pakistan Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No Meeting before May 11”.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,993,985Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no US-Iran diplomatic meeting before May 11 at 100%, reflecting the absence of any confirmed in-person talks on May 10 amid stalled negotiations. President Trump publicly rejected Iran's latest counter-proposal to a US ceasefire plan—delivered via Pakistani mediators—as "totally unacceptable," underscoring persistent divides over sanctions relief, nuclear enrichment, and Strait of Hormuz access. Indirect diplomacy through Qatar and Pakistan continues without breakthroughs, following April's Pakistan-hosted sessions and a fragile war ceasefire. While trader pricing embodies skin-in-the-game skepticism, a last-minute official announcement of direct engagement before midnight ET could challenge this, though recent rhetoric and naval tensions make it improbable. Upcoming Trump-Xi summit on May 14-15 may address Iran indirectly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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