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icon for North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

icon for North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

>99% szansa
Polymarket

$87,801 Wol.

>99% szansa
Polymarket

$87,801 Wol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korean state media and South Korean military detections confirm a ballistic missile launch on April 19 from near Sinpo toward eastern waters, the latest in a series of tests this month—including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 7-8 and cruise/anti-ship missiles from the Choe Hyon destroyer on April 12—driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a missile test by April 30. Pyongyang's accelerated testing pace under Kim Jong Un, amid regional tensions and joint U.S.-South Korea drills, reflects routine demonstrations of military capability in violation of UN resolutions. While resolution awaits official verification per market criteria, scenarios like disputed launch classification or technical failure claims are improbable given precedents and multi-nation confirmations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Wolumen
$87,801
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korean state media and South Korean military detections confirm a ballistic missile launch on April 19 from near Sinpo toward eastern waters, the latest in a series of tests this month—including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 7-8 and cruise/anti-ship missiles from the Choe Hyon destroyer on April 12—driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a missile test by April 30. Pyongyang's accelerated testing pace under Kim Jong Un, amid regional tensions and joint U.S.-South Korea drills, reflects routine demonstrations of military capability in violation of UN resolutions. While resolution awaits official verification per market criteria, scenarios like disputed launch classification or technical failure claims are improbable given precedents and multi-nation confirmations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Wolumen
$87,801
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Wynik zaproponowany: Yes

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: Yes

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Często zadawane pytania

"North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 100% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 100¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?" wygenerował $87.8K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 14, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?" to 100% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 100% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

Zasady rozstrzygania "North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.