Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez maintains a commanding lead in the NY-14 House race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic, where she captured 86.9% in the June 2026 Democratic primary and previously won the general election by over 33 points. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, who ran unopposed in his primary, trails significantly amid a wide fundraising gap exceeding $32 million to under $350,000. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Ocasio-Cortez reflects these fundamentals and historical voting patterns in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking national political shifts, a major candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout, though the structural advantages make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-14 House Election Winner
NY-14 House Election Winner
$54,765 Wol.
$54,765 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
96%
Diamant Hysenaj (R)
4%
$54,765 Wol.
$54,765 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
$29,905 Wol.
96%
Diamant Hysenaj (R)
$24,860 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez maintains a commanding lead in the NY-14 House race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic, where she captured 86.9% in the June 2026 Democratic primary and previously won the general election by over 33 points. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, who ran unopposed in his primary, trails significantly amid a wide fundraising gap exceeding $32 million to under $350,000. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Ocasio-Cortez reflects these fundamentals and historical voting patterns in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking national political shifts, a major candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout, though the structural advantages make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$54,765Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez maintains a commanding lead in the NY-14 House race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic, where she captured 86.9% in the June 2026 Democratic primary and previously won the general election by over 33 points. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, who ran unopposed in his primary, trails significantly amid a wide fundraising gap exceeding $32 million to under $350,000. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Ocasio-Cortez reflects these fundamentals and historical voting patterns in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking national political shifts, a major candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout, though the structural advantages make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$54,765Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez maintains a commanding lead in the NY-14 House race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic, where she captured 86.9% in the June 2026 Democratic primary and previously won the general election by over 33 points. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, who ran unopposed in his primary, trails significantly amid a wide fundraising gap exceeding $32 million to under $350,000. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Ocasio-Cortez reflects these fundamentals and historical voting patterns in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking national political shifts, a major candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout, though the structural advantages make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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