New York’s 14th congressional district, covering portions of the Bronx and Queens, maintains a strongly Democratic tilt reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while the Republican nominee advanced without a contested primary. Rating services including the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of significant recent shifts in local political dynamics. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability, underscoring the structural barriers for Republican candidates. A late surge in turnout, unexpected primary upset, or major scandal could narrow margins, though no such developments have surfaced in the current cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-14 House Election Winner
NY-14 House Election Winner
$41,424 Wol.
$41,424 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$41,424 Wol.
$41,424 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,262 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$13,162 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 14th congressional district, covering portions of the Bronx and Queens, maintains a strongly Democratic tilt reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while the Republican nominee advanced without a contested primary. Rating services including the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of significant recent shifts in local political dynamics. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability, underscoring the structural barriers for Republican candidates. A late surge in turnout, unexpected primary upset, or major scandal could narrow margins, though no such developments have surfaced in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$41,424Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 14th congressional district, covering portions of the Bronx and Queens, maintains a strongly Democratic tilt reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while the Republican nominee advanced without a contested primary. Rating services including the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of significant recent shifts in local political dynamics. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability, underscoring the structural barriers for Republican candidates. A late surge in turnout, unexpected primary upset, or major scandal could narrow margins, though no such developments have surfaced in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$41,424Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 14th congressional district, covering portions of the Bronx and Queens, maintains a strongly Democratic tilt reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while the Republican nominee advanced without a contested primary. Rating services including the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of significant recent shifts in local political dynamics. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability, underscoring the structural barriers for Republican candidates. A late surge in turnout, unexpected primary upset, or major scandal could narrow margins, though no such developments have surfaced in the current cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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