Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an outcome driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America alongside strong support among younger and college-educated voters. The district’s heavily Democratic composition, with consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, positions her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican nominee Jomo M. Williams. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling momentum. A realistic shift would require a significant late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic seats indicate limited volatility before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,925 Wol.
$39,925 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
2%
$39,925 Wol.
$39,925 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier (D)
$27,409 Wol.
97%
Jomo Williams (R)
$12,516 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an outcome driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America alongside strong support among younger and college-educated voters. The district’s heavily Democratic composition, with consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, positions her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican nominee Jomo M. Williams. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling momentum. A realistic shift would require a significant late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic seats indicate limited volatility before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$39,925Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an outcome driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America alongside strong support among younger and college-educated voters. The district’s heavily Democratic composition, with consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, positions her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican nominee Jomo M. Williams. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling momentum. A realistic shift would require a significant late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic seats indicate limited volatility before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$39,925Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District after defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 primary, an outcome driven by endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America alongside strong support among younger and college-educated voters. The district’s heavily Democratic composition, with consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, positions her as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican nominee Jomo M. Williams. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling momentum. A realistic shift would require a significant late-cycle development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the nominee, though historical patterns in comparable safe Democratic seats indicate limited volatility before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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