New York’s 13th congressional district, covering parts of Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against several challengers, including Darializa Avila Chevalier, but the seat has remained solidly Democratic for years with minimal Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The November 3 general election features a Republican nominee who advanced without a contested primary, underscoring the absence of viable opposition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats reflects these structural and historical factors. A primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen national Republican wave or major scandal, represents the narrow pathways that could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s partisan baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$33,775 Wol.
$33,775 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$33,775 Wol.
$33,775 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,733 Wol.
96%
Republican Party
$12,042 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, covering parts of Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against several challengers, including Darializa Avila Chevalier, but the seat has remained solidly Democratic for years with minimal Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The November 3 general election features a Republican nominee who advanced without a contested primary, underscoring the absence of viable opposition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats reflects these structural and historical factors. A primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen national Republican wave or major scandal, represents the narrow pathways that could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,775Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, covering parts of Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against several challengers, including Darializa Avila Chevalier, but the seat has remained solidly Democratic for years with minimal Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The November 3 general election features a Republican nominee who advanced without a contested primary, underscoring the absence of viable opposition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats reflects these structural and historical factors. A primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen national Republican wave or major scandal, represents the narrow pathways that could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$33,775Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district, covering parts of Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against several challengers, including Darializa Avila Chevalier, but the seat has remained solidly Democratic for years with minimal Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The November 3 general election features a Republican nominee who advanced without a contested primary, underscoring the absence of viable opposition. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats reflects these structural and historical factors. A primary upset producing an unusually weak nominee, combined with an unforeseen national Republican wave or major scandal, represents the narrow pathways that could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s partisan baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania