Observed low precipitation totals at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport through late May 2026, reaching roughly 0.76–1.14 inches against the 1.88-inch 1991–2020 climatological normal, have anchored overwhelming trader consensus on the 0.5–1 inch outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging and a suppressed Pacific storm track limited measurable rain after early-month showers, consistent with NOAA guidance for near- or below-normal conditions. This dry anomaly aligns with historical analogs of drier Mays and keeps upside risk limited to modest late showers that could nudge totals slightly higher. Model consensus on stable steering patterns leaves bins above 1.5 inches negligible. Only a substantial upward revision in final National Weather Service verification data would realistically alter the market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPrecipitation in Seattle in May?
Precipitation in Seattle in May?
0.5-1" 100.0%
<0.5" <1%
1-1.5" <1%
1.5-2" <1%
$8,531 Wol.
$8,531 Wol.
May 31, 2026
<0.5"
No
0.5-1"
Yes
1-1.5"
No
1.5-2"
No
2-2.5"
No
2.5-3"
No
>3"
No
0.5-1" 100.0%
<0.5" <1%
1-1.5" <1%
1.5-2" <1%
$8,531 Wol.
$8,531 Wol.
May 31, 2026
<0.5"
$2,416 Wol.
No
0.5-1"
$2,432 Wol.
Yes
1-1.5"
$845 Wol.
No
1.5-2"
$967 Wol.
No
2-2.5"
$727 Wol.
No
2.5-3"
$539 Wol.
No
>3"
$604 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed low precipitation totals at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport through late May 2026, reaching roughly 0.76–1.14 inches against the 1.88-inch 1991–2020 climatological normal, have anchored overwhelming trader consensus on the 0.5–1 inch outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging and a suppressed Pacific storm track limited measurable rain after early-month showers, consistent with NOAA guidance for near- or below-normal conditions. This dry anomaly aligns with historical analogs of drier Mays and keeps upside risk limited to modest late showers that could nudge totals slightly higher. Model consensus on stable steering patterns leaves bins above 1.5 inches negligible. Only a substantial upward revision in final National Weather Service verification data would realistically alter the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,531Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed low precipitation totals at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport through late May 2026, reaching roughly 0.76–1.14 inches against the 1.88-inch 1991–2020 climatological normal, have anchored overwhelming trader consensus on the 0.5–1 inch outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging and a suppressed Pacific storm track limited measurable rain after early-month showers, consistent with NOAA guidance for near- or below-normal conditions. This dry anomaly aligns with historical analogs of drier Mays and keeps upside risk limited to modest late showers that could nudge totals slightly higher. Model consensus on stable steering patterns leaves bins above 1.5 inches negligible. Only a substantial upward revision in final National Weather Service verification data would realistically alter the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$8,531Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Observed low precipitation totals at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport through late May 2026, reaching roughly 0.76–1.14 inches against the 1.88-inch 1991–2020 climatological normal, have anchored overwhelming trader consensus on the 0.5–1 inch outcome. Persistent high-pressure ridging and a suppressed Pacific storm track limited measurable rain after early-month showers, consistent with NOAA guidance for near- or below-normal conditions. This dry anomaly aligns with historical analogs of drier Mays and keeps upside risk limited to modest late showers that could nudge totals slightly higher. Model consensus on stable steering patterns leaves bins above 1.5 inches negligible. Only a substantial upward revision in final National Weather Service verification data would realistically alter the market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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